Coordinator for Economics, Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events
Energy and environmental economics, public policy, natural hazards and terrorism, regional science, applied general equilibrium modeling
In addition to his position in USC’s School of Policy, Planning and Development, Professor Rose serves as Coordinator for Economics at USC’s DHS Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE); and as the Acting Director of USC’s new Energy Institute.
Much of Professor Rose’s research is on the economics of natural and man-made hazards. He recently served on a National Research Council panel on the benefits of advanced seismic monitoring and as a lead researcher for a report to the U.S. Congress on the net benefits of FEMA hazard mitigation grants. He is currently a principal investigator on an NSF grant to estimate the economic impacts of risk amplification following terrorist attacks, a project for the National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center to develop a computable general equilibrium modeling capability to analyze the consequences of terrorist threats, and an NSF project to develop a hazards decision support model for the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power. A major focus of his research has been on resilience to natural disasters and terrorism at the levels of the individual business, market, and regional economy.
Professor Rose’s other research areas are the economics of energy and climate change policy. His emphasis has been on the design of policy instruments, primarily tradable emission permits, for sponsors ranging from the United Nations to the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection. He recently served as a member of an EPA Scientific Advisory Board Panel on the Second Generation Climate Change Policy Model and is a coordinating team member for the federal interagency State of the Carbon Cycle Review. He is currently focusing on greenhouse gas cap and trade systems in the Western U.S., with the prospects of involving the European Union and developing counties in the Pacific Rim.
Professor Rose serves on the editorial boards of the Journal of Regional Science, Resource and Energy Economics, Energy Policy, and Resource Policy. He has served as the American Economic Association Representative to the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and on the Board of Directors of the American Association of Geographers Energy and Environment Specialty Group. He is the recipient of a Woodrow Wilson Fellowship, East-West Center Fellowship, American Planning Association’s Outstanding Program Planning Honor Award, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute Special Service Recognition Award, and Applied Technology Council Outstanding Achievement Award.
Funded Research since coming to USC
National Science Foundation Human Social Dynamics Grant–Modeling Community Response and Economic Impacts of Risk Amplification Following a Terrorist Strike; 9/1/07 – 8/31/10 – $180,000
Center for Climate Strategies Grant–Energy and Climate Change; 9/1/07-6/30/08 – $31,500
U.S. Department of Homeland Security Grant–Advances in Economic Resilience; 4/1/07 – 3/31/08 – $750,000
American Petroleum Institute Contract–Analysis of the Price Impact of Increased Renewable Fuel Standard Level; 11/1/06 -7/15/07 – $25,000
National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center Contract–Quantitative Risk and Economic Assessment of Biological Threat Agents; 1/1/07 – 12/31/07 – $650,000
DOE/NOAA/NASA Contract (subcontractor through Oak Ridge National Laboratory and Penn State–State of the Carbon Cycle Review; 2/1/05 – 6/3/07 – $97,500
National Science Foundation Grant (through the Multidisciplinary Center for Earthquake Engineering Research)–Modeling Individual Business and Regional Economic Resilience to Earthquakes in a Computable General Equilibrium Framework; 10/1/06 – 9/30/07 – $25,000
Publications (last 5 years)
Rose, A. “Economic Resilience to Disasters: Multidisciplinary Origins and Contextual Dimensions,” Environmental Hazards: Human and Social Dimensions, 7(4), 1-16; 2007.
Rose, A., G. Oladosu and S. Liao, “Regional Economic Impacts of Terrorist Attacks on the Electric Power System of Los Angeles: Customer Resilience to a Total Blackout,” Risk Analysis, 27(3), 513-31; 2007
Oladosu, G. and A. Rose, “Income Distribution Impacts of Climate Change Mitigation Policy in the Susquehanna River Basin Economy,” Energy Economics, 29(4), 520-44; 2007
Rose, A., et al., “Benefit-Cost Analysis of FEMA Hazard Mitigation Grants,” Natural Hazards Review, 8(4), 1-15; 2007
Rose, A., “Macroeconomic Modeling of Catastrophic Events,” in J. Quigley and L. Rosenthal (eds.) Real Estate, Catastrophic Risk, and Public Policy, Berkeley, CA: Berkeley Press; 2007
Rose, A., G. Oladosu and S. Liao, “Business Interruption Impacts of a Terrorist Attack on the Water System of Los Angeles: Customer Resilience to a Total Blackout,” in H. Richardson, P. Gordon, and J. Moore (eds.) Economic Costs and Consequences of Terrorist Attacks, Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar, pp. 291-316; 2007
Rose, A., T. Peterson and Z. Zhang, “Regional Carbon Dioxide Permit Trading in the United States: Coalition Choices for Pennsylvania,” Penn State Environmental Law Review, 14(2), 203-29; 2006
Rose, A., “Economic Resilience to Disasters: Toward a Consistent and Comprehensive Formulation,” in D. Paton and D. Johnston (eds.) Disaster Resilience: An Integrated Approach, Springfield, IL: Charles C. Thomas, pp. 226-48; 2006
Peterson, T. and A. Rose, “Reducing the Conflict Between Climate Policy and Energy Policy in the U.S.: The Important Role of the States,” Energy Policy, 34(5), 610-31; 2006
Rose, A. and S. Liao, “Modeling Regional Economic Resilience to Disasters: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of Water Service Disruptions,” Journal of Regional Science, 45(1), 75-112; 2005
Rose, A., “Analyzing Terrorist Threats to the Economy: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach,” in H. Richardson, P. Gordon and J. Moore (eds.), Economic Impacts of Terrorist Attacks, Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar Publishing Company, pp. 196-217; 2005
Rose, A., R. Neff, B. Yarnal, and H. Greenberg, “A Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory for Pennsylvania,” Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association, 55(8), 1122-33, 2005
Rose, A. and Z. Zhang, “Interregional Burden-Sharing of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation in the United States,” Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 9(3), 477-500; 2004
Rose, A., “Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Action Planning,” Penn State Environmental Law Review, 12(1), 153-71; 2004
Rose, A., G. Oladosu and D. Salvino, “Regional Economic Impacts of Electricity Outages in Los Angeles: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis,” in M. Crew and M. Spiegel (eds.), Obtaining the Best from Regulation and Competition, Dordrecht: Kluwer, pp. 179-210; 2004
Rose, A. and S. Kverndokk, “Equity and Energy Policy,” in C. Cleveland et al. (eds.) Encyclopedia of Energy, New York: Academic Press pp. 527-39; 2004
Rose, A. and G. Guha, “Computable General Equilibrium Modeling of Electric Utility Lifeline Losses from Earthquakes,” in Y. Okuyama and S. Chang (eds.) Modeling the Spatial Economic Impacts of Natural Hazards, Heidelberg: Springer, pp. 119-42; 2004
Rose, A. and S. Liao, “Understanding Sources of Resiliency to Natural Hazards,” in A. van der Veen et al. (eds.) Proceedings of the Joint NEDEIS and University of Twente Workshop: In Search of a Common Methodology for Damage Estimation, Bruxelles: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, pp. 137-50; 2003
Kverndokk, S. and A. Rose, “Externalities, Efficiency, and Equity,” in J. van den Bergh (ed.) Encyclopedia of Development and Economic Sciences, UNESCO/Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems; 2003
Stevens, B. and A. Rose, “A Dynamic analysis of the Marketable Permits Approach to Global Warming Policy: A Comparison of Spatial and Temporal Flexibility,” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 44(1), 45-69; 2002
Rose, A. and D. Lim, “Business Interruption Losses from Natural Hazards: Conceptual and Methodological Issues in the Case of the Northridge Earthquake,” Global Environmental Changes B: Environmental Hazards, 4(2), 1-14; 2002
Rose, A. and G. Oladosu, “Greenhouse Gas Reduction in the U.S.: Identifying Winners and Losers in an Expanded Permit Trading System,” Energy Journal, 23(1), 1-18; 2002
Rose, A., “Model Validation in Estimating Higher-Order Economic Losses from Natural Hazards,” in G. Taylor and E. VanMarcke (eds.) Acceptable Risk to Lifeline Systems from Natural Hazards Threats, New York: American Society of Civil Engineers, pp. 105-31; 2002